Tuesday, April 23, 2024

UK-Germany and China spies, UK defense boosts, Trump China

U.K. and Germany finally take on Chinese spies but... they are only cracking the tip of China's espionage iceberg. And only with caution.

The U.K. sends message to Trump, NATO and Russia with defense budget boosts. Rishi Sunak has pledged that the U.K. will spend 2%-of-GDP on defense by 2030.

Trump's cabinet picks will reflect China focus. Right or wrong, the war in Ukraine will take a backseat.



Monday, April 22, 2024

Shadow war, Ukraine-EU, Patrushev-Cubans, Trump-TikTok

 The new way of war:  How US enemies foster American anger, disunity, and self-doubt. China is mastering the effort to shape and control what Americans believe and do.

Ukraine and the European Union must adapt their strategies to U.S. aid realities. The most recent U.S. aid package is likely to be the last of its scale.

Russian spymaster meets with Cuban, Brazilian and Bolivian counterparts in Moscow. The meetings underline Russia's interest in bolstering anti-American partnerships.

Trump again bows to Beijing with pro-TikTok rant. The former president appears to care more about campaign donations than national security.



Thursday, April 18, 2024

Ukraine/Taiwan

China will likely invade Taiwan even if Ukraine wins. The Chinese decision to attack or not attack will have little to do with the outcome of the war in Ukraine.



Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Havana Syndrome

CIA doubles down on see-no-Russian Havana Syndrome spin. Director Bill Burns put out an internal memo expressing his continued support for what appears to be flawed analysis.



Friday, April 12, 2024

Rhodes vs. Kushner, FISA 702

Jared Kushner's business dealings deserve scrutiny, but Ben Rhodes has no credibility to offer foreign policy critiques. Rhodes' Middle East record isn't  stellar.

from Thursday

Ghost stories, or why FISA 702 queries should remain warrantless. A warrant-only system for U.S. person queries might work with counterterrorism but would be a disaster with espionage cases.



Tuesday, April 9, 2024

Russia/Hunter Biden, China spies, Johnson-Cameron

Why Russia is attempting to tie Hunter Biden to the ISIS attack in Moscow. It represents a play by the Kremlin to undermine Biden and Ukraine in the 2024 U.S. election.

China complains that the U.S. is denying too many of its spies entry. Beijing pretends those being denied entry are innocent students. They are anything but that.

House Speaker Mike Johnson keeps ignoring top U.S. allies. The Speaker failed to meet with the British foreign secretary on Tuesday.



Monday, April 8, 2024

Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte's selection as next NATO Secretary General carries risks re: Donald Trump's prospective return to office. The Dutch prime minister has a very weak record on defense spending.



Thursday, April 4, 2024

Biden's ceasefire call

Biden's highly damaging call for an immediate Gaza ceasefire. The president has fueled Hamas intransigence, weaken Israeli deterrence, and encourage Iranian aggression.



Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Israel aid strike

Israel's accidental attack on aid workers is a problem for Netanyahu's government. Facing rising international criticism of its military campaign, Israel needs to retain all the support it can get.



Monday, April 1, 2024

Havana Syndrome

New reporting shreds Intelligence Community assessment on Havana Syndrome. The Insider has provided forensic links between Russian GRU operatives and so-called Havana Syndrome incidents.